اخبار Fox News – پیش بینی برنده انتخابات آمریکا

مورخان آمریکایی از سال 1984 تاکنون برنده انتخابات آمریکا را درست پیش بینی کرده اند. در این ویدیو از شبکه خبری فاکس نیوز صحبت های پروفسور Allan Lichtman را بشنوید.

زبان ویدیو: در این ویدیو از شبکه Fox News، خبری با عنوان اخبار Fox News – پیش بینی برنده انتخابات آمریکا را با زیرنویس انگلیسی مشاهده می کنید. 

متن ترانسکریپت این ویدیو

>> MY TOTALLY NONPARTISAN SYSTEM

>> MY TOTALLY NONPARTISAN SYSTEM

GENERATES PREDICTIONS, NOT

ENDORSEMENTS AND THE WAY IT

WORKS IS IT’S CALLED THE 13 KEYS

TO THE WHITE HOUSE.

IT ENGAGES THE STRENGTH AND

PERFORMANCE OF THE PARTY HOLDING

THE WHITE HOUSE — TRUMP OF

COURSE WHITE RIGHT NOW.

THAT MEANS IT IS GOVERNANCE, NOT

CAMPAIGNING THAT COUNTS.

IMAGINE THAT.

AND THE WAY THE SYSTEM WORKS,

SIX OR MORE KEYS GO AGAINST THE

WHITE HOUSE PARTY, THEY ARE

PREDICTED LOSERS.

ANY SIX.

THAT’S HOW I WAS ABLE TO PREDICT

TRUMP IN 2016 BECAUSE THE

DEMOCRATS HAD EXACTLY SIX KEYS

AGAINST THEM.

THIS TIME I HAVE A DIFFERENT

PREDICTION, NOW THE TRUMP IS THE

INCUMBENT, HE HAS SEVEN KEYS OUT

AGAINST HIM AND MY PREDICTION IS

THAT DONALD TRUMP WILL BECOME

THE FIRST SITTING PRESIDENT

SINCE GEORGE H.W. BUSH IN 1992

TO LOSE A REELECTION BID AND

JOE BIDEN WILL BECOME THE NEXT

PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES.

>> Martha: TAKING A LOOK AT

THOSE KEYS, WE COULD PUT THEM

BACK UP, I DON’T KNOW THAT WE

WILL HAVE TIME TO GET THROUGH

ALL OF THEM BUT WHICH ONES STAND

OUT TO YOU AS THE MOST IMPORTANT

AND CAN YOU EXPLAIN WHAT’S

UNDERLYING THEM?

>> THE KEYS THAT STAND OUT MOST

IMPORTANT ARE ONES THAT TURNED

IN 2020 AFTER THE PANDEMIC AND

THE CRIES FOR SOCIAL AND RACIAL

JUSTICE.

GOING INTO 2020, DONALD TRUMP

WAS LOOKING GREAT WITH ONLY FOUR

KEYS DOWN BUT THEN WE HAVE THE

PANDEMIC WHICH NEVER GOT

RESOLVED AND THE CALL FOR SOCIAL

AND RACIAL JUSTICE WOULD NEVER

GOT RESOLVED AND COST TRUMP

THREE MORE KEYS.

THE SHORT-TERM ECONOMIC KEY

MEASURED BY AN ELECTION YEAR

RECESSION, LONG-TERM ECONOMIC

KEY BECAUSE DESPITE THE SPIKE IN

THE THIRD QUARTER ON A MUCH

LOWER BASE WILL GO STILL

NEGATIVE AND PUSH DOWN THE

AVERAGE AND OF COURSE THE SOCIAL

UNREST KEY BECAUSE OF WHAT’S

RAGING ACROSS THE LAND AND

REMAINS UNRESOLVED.

TRUMP GOES FROM FOUR KEYS DOWN

TO AT SEVEN KEYS DOWN.

NEVER IN THE HISTORY OF THE

UNITED STATES, MARTHA, HAS THE

PARTY HOLDING THE WHITE HOUSE

EVER SUFFERED SUCH A SUDDEN AND

DRAMATIC REVERSAL OF FORTUNE AND

JUST A FEW MONTHS.

>> Martha: IT’S AN INTERESTING

QUESTION BECAUSE THE THINGS THAT

YOU .2 ALMOST ARE IN SOME WAYS

OUT OF THE PRESIDENT — ANY

PRESIDENT’S CONTROL.

THEY ARE THE KINDS OF THINGS

THAT HAPPEN TO PRESIDENTS,

HAPPEN DURING THEIR TENURE AND

OF COURSE HOW THEY RESPOND TO

THEM IS ONE OF THE KEY MEASURES.

I JUST WONDER WHEN YOU LOOK BACK

IN HISTORY AT OTHER TIMES WHEN

THINGS BECOME SO OVERWHELMING TO

THE OFFICE THAT PERHAPS THERE IS

NOT THAT MUCH A PRESIDENT CAN DO

TO CHANGE THOSE KEYS.

>> HERBERT HOOVER, A MAN WHO

SHOULD KNOW IT SAID VERY

PRESCIENTLY, WHEN YOU’RE THE

PRESIDENT CAN YOU GET THE CREDIT

FOR THE SUNSHINE AND THE BLAME

FOR THE RAIN.

IT’S RAINING PRETTY HARD ON

AMERICA RIGHT NOW.

>> Martha: I THINK IT IS

RAINING PRETTY HARD.

THANK YOU VERY MUCH, ALAN

LICHTMAN INTERESTING TO HEAR

YOUR PERSPECTIVE AND WE’LL AND

SEE IF YOUR RIGHT AND IF THIS IS

دانلود فایل ویدیو، متن و زیرنویس انگلیسی

Originally published at youtube