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متن ترانسکریپت ویدیوی اخبار انگلیسی همراه متن و زیرنویس

The Three Reasons the Democrat Race Remains

Undecided

The Democratic nomination race started within

days after the 2018 Midterms.

Since then, a year has passed, two dozen have

declared their candidacy, and there have been

seven debates—and yet there is no clarity

as to who will be the nominee.

The reasons why are simple and don’t bode

well for the Democrats going forward.

Reason #3.

It is so easy to run for President.

In the internet/mass media age, running for

president has become rather easy.

As a result, a crowded field has become the

norm for the out party in presidential years.

In the good old days, the year 2000 let’s

say, running for president took political

name ID, connections, and lots of money.

The number of viable candidates, therefore,

were generally quite few.

When Bush had raised the now quaint number

of $100 million by January of 2000, he had

nearly cornered the Republican primary market.

In 2016, by contrast, the Republicans had

more than 15 candidates run.

In this cycle, a bevy of relative unknowns

and many undeserving figures declared for

the Democrat nomination.

Take the candidacy of Beto O’Rourke.

He was a 2016 sensation because technology

permitted him to fundraise around the country

in ways that far outsized his résumé.

When he reached the national level, he came

back down to earth quite quickly and dropped

out.

Mayor Pete Buttigieg is 2020’s Democrat

shooting star right?

He has run a very successful campaign, including

raising enormous amounts of money—even though

few think he can win the nomination.

That is quite the feat for a man whose claims

to fame include garnering over eight and a

half thousand votes to be reelected Mayor

of South Bend, Indiana.

That is not a typo—he received just 8,515

votes—and now is running for President and

raising nearly $25 million a quarter.

It turns out, however, that crowded fields—two

dozen candidates—without a consensus candidate

(I’m about to explain reason 2 in a minute),

lend themselves to drawn out primary seasons

the likes of which the Democrats are now experiencing.

Reason #2.

There is no consensus Democrat candidate.

In 2016, the Democrats did not have a crowded

field of contenders.

The open presidential seat attracted over

15 fairly prominent Republicans to the race.

The Democrat race, on the other hand, quickly

narrowed down to two candidates, who were

they?

Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders.

For most Democrats, especially the Democrat

Establishment, Hillary Clinton was the consensus

candidate.

I gotta say Bernie Sanders, only identifies

as a Democrat when he runs for President.

Otherwise, he is a socialist masquerading

as an Independent.

With that profile, Sanders is never going

to be a favorite of Establishment Democrats.

By many means, and many times unfair means,

the Democrats and the Democrat National Committee

made sure that their consensus candidate got

the nomination over the socialist interloper

Bernie Sanders in 2016.

All of which leads to Reason #1 and Reason

#1 is also why the Democrats currently do

not have a consensus candidate.

Reason #1.

The Democrat party is deeply divided.

Who speaks for today’s Democrat Party?

What are its core principles?

Is there a single such spokesperson or set

of principles?

There answer, is no.

The Democrats are far more divided than the

Republicans.

Consider this: the huge government/socialist

wing of the Democrat Party, comprised of Bernie

Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, has over 35

percent of the support of the Democrat Party.

Currently, Sanders leads Warren.

If Warren would drop out, Sanders would be

not only the clear leader in the Iowa, New

Hampshire, Nevada and California polls—he

would also be the clear leader of the national

Democrat polls.

The crowded field (that we talked about that

in Reason #3), however, splits the vote of

that wing of the party.

Even so, it is more than likely that by the

end of March, that wing of the party will

have the most delegates.

The Left’s Media, the Democrat Establishment,

and the big Democrat donors, however, want

nothing to do with either Sanders or Warren

let alone Sanders’ backers in the form of

the Squad (AOC and so on) Some have gone so

far to say they will sit out the race if either

Sanders or Warren is the nominee.

Importantly, rather than seriously dim their

prospects, the supporters of especially Sanders,

view the lack of affection from the Establishment

as a badge of honor.

That spurs them on.

Of course, the Establishment’s default candidate

is Joe Biden.

He is, according to them, “electable.”

However, he has raised half as much money

as Sanders, and Biden rallies remain rather

small.

Amidst that division, a niche candidate like

Mayor Pete Buttigieg also has done well.

The sum total of it all is that there are

various camps with the Democrat party and

they are not playing well together.

The far Left/socialist group wants nothing

to do with Biden.

The Establishment and moderates want nothing

to do with Warren and Sanders.

So divided are the Democrat voters that significant

enough numbers of voters, in either Democrat

camp, could sit out the election against Trump.

That, of course, spells big trouble for the

Democrat nominee and the Democrats Congressional

and Senate candidates.

Don’t despair however!

There are three more Democrat debates to go.

In other words, stay tuned because, for the

Democrats in 2020, primary voting may not

decide anything at all.

Thomas Del Beccaro is an acclaimed author,

speaker, Fox News, Fox Business, and Epoch

Times opinion writer and the former chairman

of the California Republican Party.

He is the author of the historical perspectives

“The Divided Era” and “The New Conservative

Paradigm.”

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